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| #1003252 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:00 AM 02.Jun.2020) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 100 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020 ...DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE... ...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 92.0W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 92.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). This heading at a slower forward speed is expected to continue this morning. The depression is forecast to move west-southwestward or southward at a even slower forward speed this afternoon and tonight, and meander over the southern Bay of Campeche through late Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is forecast to be near the coast of the southern Bay of Campeche Tuesday night through Thursday. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next couple of days and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches) based on nearby surface observations. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco and Veracruz, portions of Guatemala and the Yucatan Peninsula. This system is also expected to produce rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over parts of El Salvador and Honduras. Isolated maximum rainfall amounts of 20 inches are possible in the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, Chiapas and portions of Guatemala. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area Tuesday night. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
