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| #10054 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 AM 25.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 1500Z SAT SEP 25 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 AM EDT....1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ARE REVISED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANNE RIVER NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER AND FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 77.6W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 75SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 180SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 77.6W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 77.0W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.0N 79.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 75SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 28.0N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.5N 82.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.0N 83.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 35.0N 78.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 40.0N 67.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 46.0N 54.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 77.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |
