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| #1013423 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:08 AM 23.Aug.2020) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Laura Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 500 AM EDT Sun Aug 23 2020 ...LAURA DUMPING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS EXTENDED WESTWARD ACROSS CUBA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 70.9W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM E OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SE OF CAP HAITIEN HAITI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the Cuban provinces of Ciego De Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, Matanzas, Mayabeque, La Habana, and Artemisa. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The northern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the border with Haiti * The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Punta Palenque * The northern coast of Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the border with the Dominican Republic * The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands * Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Las Tunas, Holguin, Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Granma, Ciego De Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, Matanzas, Mayabeque, La Habana, and Artemisa A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The central Bahamas * Andros Island * Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to Key West and the Dry Tortugas * Florida Bay * Cuban province of Pinar Del Rio A Tropical Storm Warning for the Dominican Republic and Haiti means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area today. The Tropical Storm Warning for the Cuban provinces means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area during the next 24 to 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 70.9 West. Laura is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Laura will move across Hispaniola today, be near or over Cuba tonight and Monday, and over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday night and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant changes in strength are forecast during the next 36 to 48 hours while Laura moves over or near Hispaniola and Cuba. Strengthening is forecast once Laura moves into the Gulf of Mexico Monday night and Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Laura is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Tuesday: Laura is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Tuesday: Dominican Republic, Haiti and Cuba: 4 to 8 inches, with maximum amounts of 12 inches. This heavy rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash and urban flooding, and the potential for mudslides across the Greater Antilles. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches, is expected over the Turks and Caicos, southeast Bahamas, and Jamaica. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches is expected across the Florida Keys. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area for the Dominican Republic and Haiti through tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area for Cuba this afternoon through Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within portions of the watch area tonight through Monday evening. SURF: Swells generated by Laura are affecting portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola. These swells are expected to spread across Cuba, much of the Bahamas, and the Florida Keys during the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
