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| #101451 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:03 AM 01.Aug.2006) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 200 AM AST TUE AUG 01 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF SABA... ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. MAARTEN/ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATER THIS MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WITH LITTLE ADVANCE NOTICE COULD BE REQUIRED FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS... NEVIS...AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE HAD REFORMED FARTHER EAST NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES...325 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL HEADING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR NEAR THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...16.5 N...58.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST. |
