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#1016140 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 11.Sep.2020) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 500 PM AST Fri Sep 11 2020 ...PAULETTE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO BERMUDA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.6N 53.7W ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 855 MI...1380 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Paulette. A hurricane watch could be required for the island tonight or early Saturday. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 53.7 West. Paulette is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A motion toward the northwest or west-northwest is expected through Sunday night, followed by a sharp turn toward the north by late Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Paulette should be near Bermuda Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to become a hurricane Saturday or Saturday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United States into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |