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| #1016586 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 14.Sep.2020) TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 29 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020 Rene continues to produce just enough deep convection to keep it from degenerating to a remnant low. However, it is expected to degenerate later today due to the ongoing impact of strong west-northwesterly vertical shear and dry air entrainment. The initial intensity and the intensity forecast, which call for dissipation by 60 h, are unchanged from the previous advisory. The initial motion is a somewhat uncertain 270/3. The shallow cyclone should accelerate west-southwestward or southwestward in the low-level flow by 12-24 hours and continue on that general motion until dissipation. The new NHC track forecast is an update of the previous forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0900Z 27.4N 48.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 14/1800Z 27.2N 49.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 15/0600Z 26.6N 49.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 15/1800Z 25.8N 51.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/0600Z 25.0N 52.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven |
