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| #10170 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 25.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 0300Z SUN SEP 26 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST MAY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY ON SUNDAY. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...BIMINI...AND THE BERRY ISLANDS...AND DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ELEUTHERA...ANDROS...AND NEW PROVIDENCE ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST OF NORTHERN FLORIDA TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 80.0W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT.......100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 125SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 180SW 250NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 80.0W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 79.3W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 28.0N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.2N 82.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.0N 83.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N 83.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 38.0N 75.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 42.0N 65.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 45.0N 54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 80.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH |
