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| #10174 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 PM 25.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 50 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004 ...EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE BEGINNING TO MOVE ONSHORE OVER MARTIN AND ST. LUCIE COUNTIES... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST MAY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY ON SUNDAY. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...BIMINI...AND THE BERRY ISLANDS...AND DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ELEUTHERA...ANDROS...AND NEW PROVIDENCE ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST OF NORTHERN FLORIDA TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES MILES EAST OF STUART FLORIDA. JEANNE IS MOVING SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING INLAND NEAR MIDNIGHT...AND ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JEANNE IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. JEANNE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES. A FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING PROGRAM WIND TOWER NEAR VERO BEACH RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 68 MPH WITH A GUST TO 94 MPH. AFTER THE ISSUANCE OF THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 953 MB...28.14 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....POSSIBLY REACHING 3 TO 6 FEET IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE OVER FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...27.2 N... 80.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 953 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH |
