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| #1017590 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 18.Sep.2020) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM WILFRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232020 1500 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 32.4W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 32.4W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 31.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 12.6N 34.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.5N 37.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.5N 40.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.6N 42.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.7N 45.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.3N 47.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 32.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
