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#1018333 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 AM 22.Sep.2020) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 23.7W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 30NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 120SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 23.7W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 24.4W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 35.1N 21.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 35.4N 19.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 35.8N 17.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 35.6N 16.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 34.9N 16.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 34.3N 17.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 33.3N 21.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 23.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |