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| #101935 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:03 PM 03.Aug.2006) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 200 PM AST THU AUG 03 2006 ...CHRIS LIKELY TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES...365 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO CHRIS AND WILL REACH THE SYSTEM SOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 5 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND NORTHERN HAITI THROUGH FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...20.7 N...67.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. |
