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#1019958 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 AM 05.Oct.2020)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262020
0900 UTC MON OCT 05 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND ARTEMISA
* ISLE OF YOUTH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAYMAN ISLANDS INCLUDING LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBA PROVINCE OF LA HABANA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 78.2W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 78.2W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 77.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.4N 79.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.6N 80.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.5N 83.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.5N 85.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.4N 88.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.9N 90.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 28.0N 91.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 32.4N 88.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 78.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 05/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART