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| #102299 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 04.Aug.2006) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 500 PM AST FRI AUG 04 2006 AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LONG ISLAND AND THE EXUMAS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS IN CUBA...AS WELL AS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHRIS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM...NORTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND AND ABOUT 330 MILES...530 KM...EAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH... 19 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF CHRIS THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST...ANY INCREASE IN STRENGTH WOULD BRING CHRIS BACK TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 4 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.4 N...72.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST. |
