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| #102300 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 04.Aug.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 2100 UTC FRI AUG 04 2006 ...CORRECTED SPELLING OF DISCONTINUED IN WARNING SECTION... AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LONG ISLAND AND THE EXUMAS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS IN CUBA...AS WELL AS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHRIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 72.8W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 72.8W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 72.2W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.7N 74.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.1N 76.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 79.4W...NEAR NORTH COAST OF CUBA MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.2N 82.0W...NEAR NORTH COAST OF CUBA MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.2N 87.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 25.0N 92.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 25.5N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 72.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z |
