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| #1023454 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 31.Oct.2020) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC SAT OCT 31 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTRIES LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 73.2W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 73.2W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 72.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.1N 75.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.4N 78.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.5N 80.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N 82.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.3N 83.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 70SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.8N 83.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 70SE 70SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 13.5N 85.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 14.0N 86.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 73.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
