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| #10244 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 AM 26.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004 ...JEANNE WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AS IT PASSES JUST NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...HURRICANE WARNING FOR FLORIDA WEST COAST... AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM HALLANDALE NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF HALLANDALE...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TO DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO CHOKOLOSKEE...AND NORTH AND WEST OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF THE ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ABOUT 20 MILES EAST OF SEBRING FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 45 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA. JEANNE IS MOVING JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 13 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO NEAR THE TAMPA BAY AREA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES JEANNE A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. JEANNE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND. HOWEVER... WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 100 MILES INLAND ALONG THE PATH OF JEANNE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES. A FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING PROGRAM TOWER IN SEBASTIEN FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 67 MPH WITH A GUST TO 81 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....AND HIGHER AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. TIDE COULD POSSIBLY REACH 3 TO 6 FEET IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE OVER FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...27.4 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM EDT AND 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
