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#1024845 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:47 PM 11.Nov.2020)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020
2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE DRY
TORTUGAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONITA BEACH TO SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY
AND CHARLOTTE HARBOR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* STEINHATCHEE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO AUCILLA RIVER FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS
AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF ETA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 83.6W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 83.6W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 83.7W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.6N 83.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.4N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 32.0N 78.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 33.8N 75.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 36.0N 69.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 83.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 12/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART