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#1025032 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:44 PM 12.Nov.2020) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number 50 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 400 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020 ...CENTER OF ETA EXPECTED TO PASS JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.6N 80.6W ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was located near latitude 31.6 North, longitude 80.6 West. Eta is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) A faster north-northeastward to northeastward motion is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Eta is expected to accelerate over the western Atlantic and move parallel to, but offshore of the Carolinas tonight and early Friday before heading well east of the Mid-Atlantic coast by late Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through early Friday. Eta could re-intensify as a non-tropical cyclone late Friday or Friday night before becoming absorbed by a larger non-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Eta will produce an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain across portions of the southeastern Florida Peninsula through early tonight, with isolated maximum storm total accumulations of 20 to 25 inches in South Florida. Localized flash and urban flooding will be possible across the Florida Peninsula today, especially across previously inundated areas. Minor river flooding is expected across portions of West Florida lasting into the weekend. Deep-layer moisture that has spread northward along a frontal boundary across the Carolinas is producing heavy rainfall along with flash and significant river flooding that is not directly associated with Eta. See products from the NOAA Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service office for additional information. SURF: Swells generated by Eta will affect portions of the southeastern United States coast through early Friday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM EST. $$ Forecaster Brown |