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| #10316 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 26.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004 ...JEANNE NEARING THE TAMPA BAY AREA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA IS DISCONTINUED. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO CHOKOLOSKEE...AND NORTH AND WEST OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO DESTIN. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA FLORIDA. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE NEAR THE TAMPA BAY AREA IN A FEW HOURS...AND NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO THE NORTH OF TAMPA BAY LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES. WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA. A WIND GUST TO 67 MPH WAS REPORTED AT VANDENBURG AIRPORT NEAR TAMPA...AND A GUST TO 60 MPH WAS REPORTED AT SARASOTA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....AND HIGHER AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. TIDES COULD POSSIBLY REACH 3 TO 6 FEET IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...27.9 N... 82.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH |
