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| #10539 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 AM 27.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 0900Z MON SEP 27 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 46.2W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 46.2W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 46.1W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.4N 46.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.8N 47.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.2N 48.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.6N 48.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.0N 50.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 30.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 31.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 46.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN |
