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| #105536 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 22.Aug.2006) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 2100 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 27.5W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 27.5W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 26.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.7N 29.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.2N 32.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.8N 35.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.1N 38.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 27.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 30.0N 53.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 27.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z |
