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| #1057492 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 18.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number 35 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 500 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021 ...FRED MOVING UP THE APPALACHIANS AND CUMBERLAND PLATEAU WHILE SLOWLY TRANSITIONING INTO A NON-TROPICAL LOW... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.6N 81.8W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF STATE COLLEGE PENNSYLVANIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flood and Flash Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the southern and central Appalachians as well as sections of the adjacent Piedmont and Cumberland Plateau. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred was located near latitude 38.6 North, longitude 81.8 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to slow down as the system turns towards the east over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Through Tonight... Eastern Carolinas...additional 1 to 2 inches of rain, with isolated maximum storm totals of 6 inches. Through Thursday night... Upper Ohio Valley, the northern Mid-Atlantic States into New England...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected. Heavy rainfall across portions of the Carolinas, Mid-Atlantic States, and New England could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Tropical Depression Fred, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today across parts of the inland Mid-Atlantic region. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Roth |
