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| #1057630 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 19.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred Advisory Number 39 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 500 AM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRED MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN NEW YORK... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.0N 76.0W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM S OF BINGHAMTON NEW YORK ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF ALBANY NEW YORK MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flash Flood Watches are in effect for parts of New York and central New England. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred was located near latitude 42.0 North, longitude 76.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to slow down through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours as it crosses southern New England. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 5 inches from New York across New England through tonight. This rainfall could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html TORNADOES: A tornado is possible this morning over southeastern New York, Long Island, or southern New England. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Roth |
