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#1058996 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 28.Aug.2021)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021
0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 49.9W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 49.9W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 49.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.8N 50.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.1N 50.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.7N 50.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.1N 50.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.7N 49.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.9N 49.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N 50.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 27.5N 52.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 49.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART