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#1059635 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 31.Aug.2021)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021
1500 UTC TUE AUG 31 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 50.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 50.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 50.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 24.3N 51.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.7N 51.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.3N 52.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.0N 53.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 30.7N 54.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 32.5N 53.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 50.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART