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#1062996 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 23.Sep.2021)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
2100 UTC THU SEP 23 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 39.7W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 39.7W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 39.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.5N 41.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.9N 44.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 12.3N 46.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.6N 47.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.1N 48.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.7N 50.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 15.2N 52.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 55.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 39.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN