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| #1064090 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 01.Oct.2021) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 2100 UTC FRI OCT 01 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 34.3W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 34.3W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 33.8W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.7N 35.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.9N 37.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.6N 39.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 50SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.6N 40.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 42.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.5N 44.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.5N 47.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 34.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY |
