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Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 46 (Milton) , Major: 46 (Milton) Florida - Any: 46 (Milton) Major: 46 (Milton)
 
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#1064536 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 PM 04.Oct.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
2100 UTC MON OCT 04 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.1N 42.5W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 70SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.
34 KT.......240NE 240SE 240SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 390SE 760SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.1N 42.5W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.8N 43.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 49.0N 39.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 140SW 70NW.
34 KT...240NE 330SE 420SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 50.9N 39.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
50 KT...110NE 150SE 150SW 70NW.
34 KT...300NE 450SE 480SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 50.5N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 420SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 52.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 360SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 56.5N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...420NE 300SE 300SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 60.0N 25.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...540NE 300SE 420SW 480NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 60.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.1N 42.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN