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#1064568 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 04.Oct.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
0300 UTC TUE OCT 05 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.7N 40.2W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 150SE 150SW 60NW.
34 KT.......240NE 270SE 400SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 420SE 780SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.7N 40.2W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.3N 40.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 50.6N 39.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 340SE 480SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 51.0N 38.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...110NE 150SE 150SW 70NW.
34 KT...300NE 450SE 480SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 51.5N 33.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 270SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 54.0N 28.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 90SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 230SE 190SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 58.0N 22.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...400NE 280SE 270SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 61.5N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...330NE 280SE 390SW 420NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 47.7N 40.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE