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| #10671 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 27.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 2100Z MON SEP 27 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 46.5W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 46.5W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 46.4W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.5N 47.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.0N 47.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.5N 48.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.0N 48.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 33.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 35.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 46.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH |
