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| #107552 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 30.Aug.2006) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006 1100 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006 ...ERNESTO EMERGING INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...EXPECTED TO RE-GAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA AND ABOUT 360 MILES...580 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF ERNESTO AWAY FROM THE COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT...AND COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATE THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO RE-GAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ON THURSDAY. NOAA BUOY 41009 RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 42 MPH...68 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF ERNESTO OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...28.7 N...80.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
