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| #107924 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:03 AM 01.Sep.2006) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006 200 AM EDT FRI SEP 01 2006 ...CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVING INLAND OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...STILL PRODUCING WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HEAVY RAINS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT NORTH OF ERNESTO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST...OR INLAND ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...25 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE STORM MOVES INLAND OVER NORTH CAROLINA. A WIND GUST TO 70 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH NORTH CAROLINA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA THROUGH THIS MORNING. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...34.5 N...78.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
