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#108032 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:31 AM 01.Sep.2006)
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 01 2006

RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT ERNESTO HAS WEAKENED
AND IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO AND A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO
THE NORTH IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS WELL TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST INTO THE ATLANTIC. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE COAST. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT
12 KNOTS AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
IT SHOULD THEN BECOME ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM. THIS WILL BE
THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE ON ERNESTO.
FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT35 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 5 PM EDT.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 01/1500Z 36.4N 77.6W 30 KT
12HR VT 02/0000Z 38.0N 77.5W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 02/1200Z 40.0N 78.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 03/0000Z 41.5N 78.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 03/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER AVILA