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| #10856 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 AM 29.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 0900Z WED SEP 29 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 46.1W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......175NE 90SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 46.1W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 46.2W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.5N 46.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 90SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 31.3N 47.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 35.0N 48.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 38.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 42.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 43.5N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 46.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
