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#10880 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 29.Sep.2004)
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004
1500Z WED SEP 29 2004

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 45.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......175NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 45.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 45.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.1N 46.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 33.0N 47.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 35.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.5N 48.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 40.5N 44.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 44.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 45.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 45.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA