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| #10894 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 29.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 2100Z WED SEP 29 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 45.9W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......175NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 45.9W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 45.8W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 32.5N 46.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 34.0N 47.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.0N 47.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 38.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 42.0N 40.0W...BECOMING ABSORBED MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 45.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |
