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| #1097671 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:51 AM 02.Jul.2022) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bonnie Intermediate Advisory Number 18A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022022 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 02 2022 ...BONNIE MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE NICARAGUA-COSTA RICA BORDER... ...FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES EXPECTED TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.0N 84.5W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM ENE OF LIBERIA COSTA RICA ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM SE OF MANAGUA NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Limon Costa Rica northward to Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua * Cabo Blanco Costa Rica northward to the border of Nicaragua and Honduras A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 6 to 12 hours. Interests along the Pacific coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico should monitor the progress of Bonnie. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was located inland along the Nicaragua-Costa Rica border near latitude 11.0 North, longitude 84.5 West. Bonnie is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a continued westward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected later today. A west-northwestward motion is expected to begin tonight or on Sunday and continue into Monday. On the forecast track, Bonnie will move across southern Nicaragua and northern Costa Rica during the next several hours and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean later this morning. Bonnie will then move offshore of but parallel to the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico today through Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is likely during the next several hours while the center of Bonnie crosses Nicaragua and Costa Rica. The storm is forecast to re-intensify over the eastern Pacific beginning later today and continuing through Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Bonnie can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. RAINFALL: Bonnie will produce heavy rain across portions of Nicaragua and Costa Rica through today. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected: Nicaragua and Costa Rica: 4 to 8 inches, localized 12 inches. This rainfall is expected to result in life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the Tropical Storm Warning area along the Caribbean coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica, and these will continue to spread westward to the Pacific coast within the warning areas during the next few hours. STORM SURGE: Water levels are expected to subside along the Caribbean coast of Nicaragua through this morning. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg |
