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#110069 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 10.Sep.2006)
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 54.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 54.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 54.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.3N 55.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.7N 56.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.4N 57.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.2N 59.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 27.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 54.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BERG