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| #110114 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 AM 11.Sep.2006) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2006 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 66.0W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......250NE 175SE 90SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..475NE 275SE 350SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 66.0W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 66.2W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 33.6N 65.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...250NE 175SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.0N 64.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...300NE 250SE 150SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 41.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...350NE 350SE 200SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 46.5N 50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...360NE 480SE 420SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 50.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 66.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
