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| #110249 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 11.Sep.2006) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006 AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 64.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......250NE 175SE 90SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..475NE 275SE 350SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 64.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 65.2W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.2N 63.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.7N 61.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.0N 58.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...300NE 250SE 150SW 275NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 45.2N 54.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...300NE 350SE 200SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 49.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 480SE 420SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 51.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 64.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH |
