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| #1105529 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 03.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 0900 UTC SAT SEP 03 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 61.4W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 61.4W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 60.9W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 62.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.9N 64.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.6N 65.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.2N 66.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.8N 67.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 67.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 24.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 25.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 61.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
