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| #1105571 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 03.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 1500 UTC SAT SEP 03 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 62.4W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 62.4W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 61.9W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.5N 63.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.3N 65.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N 65.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.8N 66.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.7N 66.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.0N 66.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 25.3N 65.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 27.0N 64.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 62.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART |
