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#1105792 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 04.Sep.2022)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052022
0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 44.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 44.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 44.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 39.8N 44.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 40.9N 43.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 41.7N 41.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 42.4N 39.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 43.3N 36.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 44.4N 33.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 46.6N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 48.4N 17.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 44.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS