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| #1106048 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 06.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 2100 UTC TUE SEP 06 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 65.8W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 65.8W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 65.7W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.0N 65.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.3N 65.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.9N 65.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 29.9N 64.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 31.9N 62.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 165SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 35.0N 59.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 190SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 42.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 45.0N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N 65.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 07/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
