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#1106118 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 AM 07.Sep.2022)
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022
0900 UTC WED SEP 07 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 65.9W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 65.9W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 65.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.4N 65.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.9N 65.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 29.7N 64.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 31.8N 63.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 45SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N 60.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 170SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 37.9N 55.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 190SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 43.6N 48.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 45.3N 46.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 65.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 07/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG