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| #1106240 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 07.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 65.5W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......130NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 420SE 420SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 65.5W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 65.5W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.6N 65.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 30.7N 63.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 45SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.3N 61.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 36.6N 57.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 75SE 55SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 190SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.2N 53.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 80NW. 34 KT...220NE 250SE 230SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 42.9N 49.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 270SE 230SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 45.0N 44.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 46.4N 39.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 65.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 08/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI/PASCH |
