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| #1106343 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:59 PM 08.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Intermediate Advisory Number 23A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 200 PM AST Thu Sep 08 2022 ...EARL MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH 105 MPH WINDS... ...NEXT AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE EN ROUTE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.7N 64.9W ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case this evening. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case later today and tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 64.9 West. Earl is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed followed by a turn to the northeast tonight and tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Earl could become a major hurricane later today. The hurricane is forecast to become a powerful post-tropical low by Saturday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning this afternoon or evening. Hurricane conditions are possible on Bermuda this evening. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across Bermuda through Friday. SURF: Swells generated by Earl are building near Bermuda and are expected to reach the U.S. east coast later today and tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin |
