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| #1106394 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:14 PM 08.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Intermediate Advisory Number 24A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 800 PM AST Thu Sep 08 2022 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN BERMUDA SOON... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 64.3W ABOUT 120 MI...170 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case this evening. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case later today and tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 64.3 West. Earl is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h),and an increase in forward speed is expected tonight, with a turn toward the northeast tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds are estimated be to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is still possible and Earl could become a major hurricane by tomorrow. Thereafter, some weakening and transition into a powerful extratropical cyclone is forecast on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The latest minimum central pressure measured by the NOAA Hurricane Hunters is 962 mb (28.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning this evening. Hurricane conditions are possible on Bermuda overnight. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across Bermuda through Friday. SURF: Swells generated by Earl are building near Bermuda and are expected to reach the U.S. east coast tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Bucci/Pasch |
