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| #1106412 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 08.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 63.7W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 160SE 120SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 240SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 63.7W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 64.3W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.3N 61.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 36.9N 57.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 210SE 180SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.7N 53.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 130SE 100SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 280SE 230SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.3N 51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.2N 50.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...260NE 250SE 250SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 45.0N 49.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 185SE 220SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 45.8N 46.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 46.5N 41.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N 63.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI/PASCH |
