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| #1106427 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:59 AM 09.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Intermediate Advisory Number 25A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 200 AM AST Fri Sep 09 2022 ...CENTER OF EARL MAKING ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO BERMUDA... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON BERMUDA THROUGH DAYBREAK... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 63.3W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the next several hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 63.3 West. Earl is moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today. On the forecast track, the center of Earl will move away from Bermuda through the morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is still possible through this evening or tonight. Thereafter, some weakening and a transition into a powerful extratropical cyclone is forecast on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The minimum central pressure reported by the reconnaissance aircraft is 964 mb (28.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda through daybreak. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across Bermuda through today. SURF: Swells generated by Earl are affecting Bermuda and portions of the U.S. East Coast and are expected to reach Nova Scotia and Newfoundland tonight and on Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |
